How I published in a scientific journal at age 12

A student writes about the inspiration behind his model for earthquake prediction – and what he learned on his (“tedious but worth it”) journey to publication

Shortly after this story was published, Suganth Kannan presented his mathematical model at a science conference, predicting an imminent earthquake in San Francisco 50 miles from the actual site. Read about his earthquake prediction in Elsevier Connect and in a subsequent story in SPIEGEL Online in Germany.


In 2012, Suganth Kannan presented his research at the Fifth Annual Conference on Engineering Failure Analysis (ICEFA) in The Hague.Ping!

I heard a sound in my email Inbox. It was from the editor-in-chief of Elsevier's Engineering Failure Analysis journal. I opened the email and read that my paper was accepted to be published under some conditions for revisions per peer reviewer's comments.

I was jubilant and felt great about the days and nights I spent on the earthquake prediction research. My brain started sending reverse neural messages to search and that lead to a flashback mode.

'A moment that was hard to swallow'

It all started because of an earthquake I experienced.

Summer 2011. I was in Maryland attending a violin camp and staying with my friends. While we were at lunch, the table started shaking and all things around me began trembling, and I initially thought someone was vigorously pushing the table. Then a picture on the wall starting spinning, building alarms started ringing with loud noise. Few minutes later all slowly became normal; then an adult came running into the building for us to evacuate the area due to earthquake. My mouth became dry, and it was a moment that was hard to swallow that I am in an earthquake. Luckily no one was hurt.

From real life to research

I always thought earthquakes occur in the west coast, Turkey, Japan and other places. I became curious about earthquakes and wanted to learn more about them.

I read books, papers and articles and was shocked to know there are not many effective earthquake prediction systems to warn the public. So I developed a motivation to predict earthquakes to reduce the shock factor and provide emergency officials time to inform the public. With the knowledge I have gained on the topic and my chess playing skills, I thought there should be a method to this madness of nature, meaning there has to be an identifiable pattern in earthquake occurrence.

 California earthquakes (1991–2001) spatial connections. (Source: Suganth Kannan, "Innovative Mathematical Model for Earthquake Prediction," Engineering Failure Analysis, 2013)Around this time at my school, I started taking Dr. Charles Golden's honors research class. Dr. Golden introduced us scientific research and told us to identify a research topic to work on and write a hypothesis to submit. So I hypothesized that earthquakes are related and got his approval to do the research. I contacted US Geological Survey (USGS) National Earthquake Information Center and collected data on past earthquakes in six different zones around the world, namely the Northeastern and Midwestern United States, California, Hawaii, Turkey and Japan from 1990 to 2011.

Over next few months, I developed my own mathematical model based on spatial connection theory. I analyzed the data applying angle values and distances between consecutive earthquakes to arrive at a distance factor to predict future earthquakes based on fault zone dynamics.

Dr. Golden, my mentor, commented on my procedure and guided me along the way. I developed a distance factor for each of the six zones and was able to predict future earthquakes. Two of my predictions materialized within close proximity. I won my school science fair, went to the Broward County science fair, got first place and qualified for state science fair.

The judges I met in state science fair were thrilled by my unique scientific concept and advised me this research should be presented in conference and published. I won at the State Science & Engineering Fair of Florida.

The Author

Suganth Kannan performs Indian classical music on violin.Suganth Kannan attends high school at the American Heritage School in Plantation, Florida, where he participates in the Science Research Program under the mentorship of Dr. Charles Golden. He's an A+ student, serves as President of the National Junior Honor Society, holds various other leadership positions, and competes on the varsity swim team. In 2011, he won the Florida State Chess Championship K-8 division and was co-champion in the K-12 division of the US Open Chess Championship.

He also performs music. He plays both western and Indian classical violin, and he won the 2012 Divali Nagar Talent Contest for singing.[divider]

His research

In 2012, Suganth Kannan presented his research on earthquake prediction at the Fifth Annual Conference on Engineering Failure Analysis (ICEFA) in The Hague, Netherlands.

In 2013, his research was published in the journal Engineering Failure Analysis, published by Elsevier in affiliation with the European Structural Integrity Society. His article — "Innovative Mathematical Model for Earthquake Prediction" — is freely available on ScienceDirect for three months, until June 20, 2014:

Kannan also recorded an AudioSlide presentation of his research, which you can find on the right-hand pane of the article on ScienceDirect:

'The journey presented its own challenges'

I aspired to present at an international conference and learned about the Fifth Annual Conference on Engineering Failure Analysis (ICEFA) in The Hague. I submitted my abstract and was accepted to do an oral presentation.

My parents and I then made plans for a trip to The Hague in July 2012.

The journey presented its own challenges. After an overnight holdover due to mechanical issues on the plane, the next day's flight was about to take off when the pilot announced that the computers were not working properly. I almost started crying since if I missed the flight, I would not be able to present at the conference. A quick checkup by ground crew and reboot of the computers (wow — even airline computers need to reboot!) solved the problem. We were little nervous when flight took off and went into prayers. I thought to myself, how crazy human race is, when in danger running towards god, solacing with the belief there is an power above us controlling all our actions.

Finally we arrived. As I entered the conference venue, I felt slight nervousness. As I walked up to the podium to present, I felt blood rush to my head. The conference room was packed, and I was introduced. I took a deep breath and commenced with my presentation of my research on earthquake prediction.

After I concluded I received inquisitive comments, questions and feedback, providing me with interesting insight into my research from researchers from around the world. My confidence grew as I interacted with a group of scientists from around the world during break time between sessions.

In the evening, I went for a conference excursion to Rotterdam, together with wonderful researchers from around the world, to see the great flood barrier Maeslantkering. A tour guide studying water resources engineering explained the history of the Maeslantkering. It has saved the Netherlands from going under sea water, most of which lies below sea level.

The next day's visit to the downtown area of The Hague by tram service was a fun activity with my parents. So many professionals were using bicycles to get to work with their suits and tie. The whole atmosphere of the downtown was relaxed, people were moving at leisure speed contrary to the mood of Miami or downtown of any major city in I've been to in the United States of America.

The following day, the conference team informed me that I could publish my research if I prepare and submit a detailed manuscript for peer review. They provided me with paperwork and link to the website to do that.

'Red is such a terrifying color'

When I returned home, I looked at the website and read about how to prepare manuscript. It was time-consuming and tedious (maybe because it was my first time around doing it). I wrote for days, read it, improved my writing and arrived at a draft copy and gave it to my mentor for his review.

A week later I got all red marked-up pages. I almost gave up. Red is such a terrifying color, you know. Due to practice, the human brain has fear associated with that color. (Um ... Why do some motorists do not stop after seeing a red light? Are they not afraid of red like me?!) But looking through it, I noticed the corrections were not as bad as I imagined them to be. I corrected and submitted my manuscript with tables, figures, pictures, graphs etc., onto their portal and received a compiled version of it for me to confirm submission. I agreed and the wait began.

Months rolled by and I was back in the next school year, busy with the routine learning. One day out of a blue moon received email about comments from reviewers on my manuscript.

I logged back onto the Elsevier website and found few documents with all comments. Wow – I did not think someone would take this much time to read, understand and provide comments on my work. They were pretty deep, encouraging and critical in places.

It took me close to three months, amidst my school work and other activities, to incorporate comments from the reviewers. Then I resubmitted my revised manuscript.

'I waited nervously every day ...'

After the tedious process, my interest to publish grew a bit more. I guess it is directly proportional to the work I put in! I waited nervously every day for an email to pop up in my inbox.

After few months, I did get that email that the editorial committee for the journal had accepted my manuscript for publication. I was jubilant and overjoyed at receiving the news I had been waiting to hear for months. They provided me with some minor comments and gave me 30 days to upload the updated final version.

4 tips to getting your science noticed

The following simple tips are to facilitate your scientific journey and feel happy about it. Enjoy it rather than feeling pressured. If you feel pressure build up at your heart, you will not function at your best. So learn to keep your heart rate normal.

1. Chose a topic you are curious about. As I discussed above, I chose earthquake forecasting because when I was 11 years old, I was present at a location where earthquake happened and became curious about how earthquakes occur and why we cannot get prior notice about it. (Even people who do not pay rent, get three day notice of eviction!) As I started reading about earthquake and its destructive power around the world and difficulties it causes to ecosystem, my curiosity turned into urge to find a solution to the problem.

2. Read and understand the topic. When I was curious, I found a way to go the extra mile to learn about the topic. I asked my parents to drop me off at the public library on the weekend for few hours and read books, articles, and journals at my own pace, accessed the internet and solidified what I read in the books. After two months of summer time well spent, I felt comfortable about the topic to chart out a plan for research in that area.

3. Identify mentors and learn to work with them. I realized that when I embark on doing something I am not fully familiar with, it is a great idea to have mentors. They encourage us as we sag in the process, make us do the work on time. Initially it feels like their expectations are at much higher plane, but the routine meetings and review made me understand and grow. In this way, I have progressed and learned more on how to work with them.

4. Have your heart set. This whole process is not an easy road to travel. I realized early on that unless I have my heart set on what I want to achieve with the research, I would give up along the way. So understand the high demand of hundreds of hours of work involved, and learn to take breaks and do other things that bring you back with more energy. Playing chess was my outlet; when I go and win some matches and feel good about it, it gives me energy to come back to research.

'The important lesson I learned ...'

Attending the conference and publishing my paper was tedious and tiring but worth it. This scientific research experience has provided me with immense knowledge about earthquakes and gave me basic understanding about science. I am able to apply scientific thoughts to every-day processes now. For example, when I go to the supermarket and pick up a milk can for my mother, I think about all the processes, like milking the cow, pasteurizing the milk, packaging, scheduling the refrigerated pickup, logistics of delivering to the right store, receiving and logging in to the seller's inventory system and stocking it — all that goes on before the milk gets to the shelf. The professors and researchers at the conference offered me excellent advice and were willing to communicate to help me further my research.

The important thing I learned from this experience is that sincerity and patience are key to success. The most valuable lesson I learned is to remain modest with success, since there is still lot more to learn. I have learned to appreciate the brilliancy of others and try to learn a bit from their expertise and apply it to what I do.

This process has made me a better student, and I am able to not just have a contact but build relationships from it. When you meet people and talk for few hours, you realize even though they are from other parts of the world, there is so much in common. For example: I met Dr. Richard Clegg, the Editor-in-Chief of the journal that published my paper and one of the leading researchers in material science area from Australia, and we quickly became friends due to mutual interest in the game of cricket. We communicate when we have time about cricket season in Australia and the world.

The journey continues ...

As a follow-up to my research, I am working on improving the accuracy of my model and expanding on my research by concentrating on the California fault zone to identify more detailed prediction methods that can be applied worldwide. I plan to create a new scale with "risk factors" for every zip code of the United States so the public can access this information to make educated decisions, similar to how people check neighborhood data when they plan to make a move to a new location. Then this can be expanded to other active earthquake zones of the world.

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20 Archived Comments

Alireza Fereidunian March 27, 2014 at 3:34 pm

Great job you man!

Suganth March 27, 2014 at 5:39 pm


Thank you, but I am still a boy (:-).

Have to learn a lot more in science and remain motivated looking at great researchers like yourself.

vikhram March 27, 2014 at 5:19 pm

I am a full-time research scholar in Engineering. I feel your words after reading.It gave me an energetic inspiration.

Suganth March 27, 2014 at 5:45 pm


Nice to hear from you. What is your research field in engineering?.

Curious, which words touched you.

I have a long road to travel in science ahead of me, would be nice to meet more like minded individuals like you along the way and make friends and 'network' (the magic word my mentor uses all the time).

Julie March 28, 2014 at 5:53 am

Well done.. Your story motivates me to pursue my study after I had put it on hold for quite some times. I believe tjat all we need in faith in ourselves... And... Red is just a colour :)

Suganth March 28, 2014 at 2:10 pm


Thank you. One thing I notice when we wait for someone to acknowledge or bounce our idea for confirmation, we do not get things done due to the feedback from other person. So for that we need to make decision by ourselves. has yellow and magenta (:-)

Alison Bert, Editor-in-Chief, Elsevier Connect March 28, 2014 at 2:19 pm

Well said Julie and Suganth.

There is always a balance between being open to feedback and criticism, which is very important, and losing our own perspective and the incentive that comes from following our heart and acting on what we believe in.

Suganth, you seem to have learned this lesson at a very young age.

Julie, from one who took eight years (!) to finish her doctorate because the dissertation could always be improved upon, congratulations on your decision to resume your studies! Remember, it doesn't have to be perfect — it just needs to be finished. On that note, here is an article one of our authors wrote that may also inspire you:

Naomi March 28, 2014 at 11:36 am

That's indeed a good inspiration and motivation to new and senior researchers. Congratulations!

Suganth March 28, 2014 at 9:01 pm


Thank you. I will keep working on science to understand it better so together we can find new solutions.

Naren March 28, 2014 at 11:43 am

Dear Suganth,

This is a great news. Congratulation for your publication. What you did is really a great job. I can see, you are curious for science. Keep this inspiration throughout your life, which is very essential in present science publications. Your work will inspire many young scientist. You are going to contribute a lot to science. The best part on you is you are enthusiastic and you have best mentor.

Suganth March 28, 2014 at 9:27 pm


Thank you. I am curious about everything, at times get in trouble for it (:-)

Vengadesh Periasamy March 28, 2014 at 1:10 pm

You have done a great job Suganth at a very young age. Please do go ahead and make your career in Science since you have a great passion for it. You will be very successful in future.

I am myself a physicist with great interest in biophysics with groups in DNA electronics, Langmuir-Blodgett, biophotovoltaics, nano medicine etc.

Dr Vengadesh P

University of Malaya


(currently based in Cambridge University)

Suganth March 28, 2014 at 9:30 pm


Thank you. I like nano technology area, for its ability to aid in science discoveries.

Shafique March 28, 2014 at 1:54 pm


Suganth March 28, 2014 at 9:31 pm



Elavenil March 28, 2014 at 3:15 pm

Really Awesome and Keep doing it more!!!!

Suganth March 28, 2014 at 9:32 pm


Thank you. I will keep trying.

Darlene Duterrier March 29, 2014 at 6:15 am

Dear Suganth,

Wow, I read your article with great pleasure. We need more young students involved with science and you sure are an inspiration. I have one question: on the journal webpage is says your article is still "inPress, Corrected Proof", even though it was made available online on October 26, 2013. Are you still correcting proofs or are the editors doing that, or what is happening right now?

Best of luck,

Darlene Duterrier, librarian, Karolinska Institutet, Sweden

Suganth March 30, 2014 at 4:47 am

Dear Darlene,

Thank you for your encouragement.

Editors are working on final touch to release I was told.

Biswas Bikram Kharel March 29, 2014 at 11:47 am

I am a medical student and since few years I have been thinking about doing research but couldn't start a first step. I think Suganth, I got one now through your success. Great job man! God bless you.

Suganth March 30, 2014 at 4:50 am


Thank you. I like your ending three words. I wish the same to you.

Believe yourself, please march ahead before March ends (:-)!

Akshay Modi March 30, 2014 at 7:47 am

Truly Inspirational. Good luck.

Suganth March 31, 2014 at 9:04 pm


Thank you. I will keep doing my best.

shubha March 31, 2014 at 10:15 am

Congratulations Suganth....!!!!

I would also like to congratulate Dr. Golden and all other mentors who guided your way,for recognising and directing this marvel of science........

Suganth March 31, 2014 at 9:06 pm


Thank you. I always remember my mentors and their effect on my progress.

Ludo April 2, 2014 at 11:51 am

Hello Suganth,

It was great to read.

Amaizing success story, thanks for sharing and inspiring others.

Again: well done!

Also, you sound like a very humble young boy...A new generation of researchers like you is encouraging for our future. I wish you a lot of success in your scientific carrer.


Suganth April 2, 2014 at 9:11 pm


Thank you. Humbleness is the virtue I would like to keep through out my life. That keeps me interested in learning and doing my best. Whatever career I choose, I would like your wish to go with me (:-).

Cathy B April 2, 2014 at 2:35 pm

Great job! Don't give up on the music--it will enrich your life personally and professionally.

Suganth April 2, 2014 at 9:13 pm


Thank you. I love music, it is very relaxing for me to sing and play violin. A great way to make friends, see I made you my friend now through music!

Jaan Hui Pu April 2, 2014 at 3:46 pm


I feel your story a good inspiration and motivation to the young researchers to involve in the rather 'unknown world' of nowadays research. Sometime the outcome of research could be unpredictable, but all you need is to believe in yourself and forget about the age boundary!

Suganth April 2, 2014 at 9:19 pm


Thank you. I too wonder why people focus on age many times. We need to focus on the intent and interest to do research. Should encourage younger people to be curious and raise questions. When I meet 6 or 8 old at parties, I always make them ask question about everything, in that way they are not shy and have fun learning together. They stump me with their questions, and I like that feeling of getting reminded to learn more.

chandy April 2, 2014 at 8:59 pm

Hi Suganth :

that is wonderful what you have accomplished; Do consider getting a MD and PHD so that you can find cures to serious problems like Cancer and Stroke and heart attack. We need more brilliant minds to puruse medical research. Good luck for your future

Suganth April 2, 2014 at 9:30 pm


Thank you.

Seriously(:-), I am a little boy, have lot more current to swim against. I will try my best in anything I do. Good luck is ours, since when I make a small difference, it will benefit all of us.

Ganesan April 3, 2014 at 6:39 am

Good to see your talent and aspirations at this young age Suganth! Sharpen your skills - All the time. When you know better, you do better! All the best!

Suganth April 4, 2014 at 3:11 am


Thank you.

While being in the nest, I will try my best not to take rest to avoid my skills getting rust, but to become the best, letting the rest to rest.

Dr Dmitry A Ruban April 4, 2014 at 11:15 am

Suganth, sincerest congratulations! I'm so impressed to learn about your publication! Your article is also important to geoscientists, and I intend to tell about it to my university students. Speaking generally, the modern science needs smart, inspired, and ambitious young generation. The earlier scientists start they career the better their career should be. I will be very happy to see your next articles. Don't stop! You have become a scientist already, and each scientist should work more and more (publishing one paper and having ideas for several others in the mind). Good luck!

Suganth April 4, 2014 at 4:49 pm


Thank you.

I will take your advice and keep my focus. I am working on other research now.

Alison Bert, Editor-in-Chief, Elsevier Connect April 4, 2014 at 4:58 pm

Dr. Ruban, I'm sure your encouragement means a lot to Suganth since you have accomplished so much in the field of geoscience. Thank you for leaving such a thoughtful comment.

Let me add that Suganth has a standing invitation to write about his new research for Elsevier Connect — assuming he can find the time amid his very busy research (and school) schedule.

Rajendaran Vairavan April 9, 2014 at 2:59 pm

Good job Suganth. Your hard work is a source of inspiration for all researches. Hats off to you and keep up the good work

Suganth April 13, 2014 at 5:27 pm


Thank you. Glad you appreciated my hard work. I will try my best.

Aziz Khan April 12, 2014 at 4:26 am

Dear Suganth,

Great work and achievement, Suganth. It always inspire me when I see the young generation is doing something innovative. In 2011, there was a group of 8 year old kids published a study on bees in biology letters. I have been talking at different platforms that we should have a scientific journal for kids where they can published.

Anyway, I wish you good luck for the coming bright future on your way. :)



Suganth April 14, 2014 at 12:28 am


Thank you for your encouragement and wishes.

I too wonder why people focus on age many times and trying to separate!. We need to focus on the intent and interest to do research. Should encourage younger people to be curious and raise questions. When I meet 6 or 8 old at parties, I always make them ask question about everything, in that way they are not shy and have fun learning together. They stump me with their questions, and I like that feeling of getting reminded to learn more.

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