The International Society for Ecological Modelling Global Conference 2021: Ecological Models for Tomorrow’s Solutions
12-16 October 2021 | University of Toronto, Scarborough, Canada
The International Society for Ecological Modelling Global Conference 2021 (ISEM 2021), under the theme ‘Ecological Models for Tomorrow’s Solutions’, will bring together scientists from all professions and applications that deal with the use of ecological models and systems ecology.
Toronto shall be the inspiring space for the Ecological Modelling community to meet, discuss and share ideas. In this conference, ecological modellers will join in their ongoing effort in advancing the concepts and methods of ecological modelling to develop ecological theory in a wide range of topics and modelling approaches.
The rigorous analysis of decision problems in environmental management requires specification of criteria to evaluate alternative management strategies; predictive models formulated in terms of variables relevant to management objectives; a finite set of management actions, including any constraints on their use; and monitoring programs to follow ecosystem responses to management.
In this context, the major challenges are associated with the uncertainty in the predictions of management outcomes. This uncertainty may stem from incomplete control of management actions, errors in measurements and sampling, environmental variability, or incomplete knowledge of system behavior. Failure to recognize and account for these sources of uncertainty may lead to catastrophic environmental and economic losses.
Accordingly, there has been a growing interest in the policy practice of adaptive management, which is an iterative implementation strategy that is recommended to address the uncertainty associated with ecological forecasts and to minimize the impact of inefficient management plans. Adaptive implementation or “learning while doing” augments initial forecasts of management actions with post-implementation monitoring, and the resulting integration of monitoring and modelling provides the basis for revised management actions.
ISEM 2021 aims to provide insights into the current state of the field of ecological modelling, and also highlight the major challenges in supporting adaptive management implementation.
We invite contributions that present novel strategies to improve the contribution of models to environmental management, including the development of ecological model ensembles, novel uncertainty analysis techniques, Bayesian inference methods, emerging techniques of data assimilation and model optimization.
Abstracts are now invited on the following topics and symposiums. They should be submitted using the online abstract submission system.
- Dynamic ecosystem models
- Uncertainty analysis
- Ensemble modelling
- Data assimilation and optimization techniques
- Machine learning and (big) data
- Model integration, metamodels
- Individual-based modelling
- Software and tools
- Bioenergetics: Dynamic energy budget models
- Network modelling
- Models of socio-ecological systems
- Models of global, climate and land-use change
- Sustainability and resilience
- Ecosystem services
- Biodiversity and conservation
- Community models
- Marine ecology and fisheries
- Freshwaters (lakes and rivers)
- Models of epidemics
- Applications of a SWAT model to evaluate the contribution of the Tafna catchment (north-west Africa) to the nitrate load entering the Mediterranean Sea
- Prototype of a predictive Pyrodinium bahamense monitoring system for Eastern Visayas Philippines
- Zoning criteria of Samar Island Natural Park (SINP): a GIS-aided protected area zoning
- Assessment of the factors affecting the existence of wetlands: The case of Cheleleka wetlands, Sidama Region, Ethiopia
- Modelling approaches for the biomonitoring and assessment of environmental stress
- Review of prediction models application in surface water quality
- Measuring the resilience of exploitation systems from agricultural water based on good governance principles
- Investigating the effects of urban expansion on the conservation of coastal vegetation environments: Case of Buffalo City Metropolitan Municipality, South Africa
- Novelty predictors for shrub (and climbers) ecological niche modelling, based on their succession stage
- Future of process-based ecological models for lakes
- Ecological and environmental impacts modeling in renewable energy utilization
- Networks: A symposium on (socio-)ecological connectivity
- Analyzing policies that support a sustainable, shared-prosperity economy across 50 countries
- Model of socio-ecological system including questions of poverty, inequality, ethics and justice in the societies of low income countries
- Climate change effects on shrimp’s distribution of commercial importance in the Gulf of California
- Population invasion, dispersal and assessment under stressful environmental conditions
- Emergence and stability of mutualistic interactions
- Machine learning for wildlife ecological conservation
- Dynamic biogeographic models– forecasting the effects of global changes for biodiversity conservation and environmental management
- Watershed ecosystems services modeling for assessment, management, and economic valuation
- Formalize description of regional sustainable development – theoretical basis
- Multispecies models informing management of aquatic systems
- Modelling and forecasting the impacts of climate change on host-parasite dynamics and disease
- Determination and comparison of urban heat islands with landsat data analysis and urban cooling model, case study of Edirne District
- Modeling human impacts for ecosystem-based management
- Modelling approaches to support social-ecological system interactions in a changing environment
- The succession rate of phytoplanktonin the power plant cooling-reservoir in Siberia