Flood Risk Change

Flood Risk Change

A Complexity Perspective

1st Edition - August 30, 2022

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  • Author: Andreas Zischg
  • Paperback ISBN: 9780128220115
  • eBook ISBN: 9780128230107

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Flood Risk Change: A Complexity Perspective focuses on the dynamic nature of flood risks and follows a systemic approach - including environmental, socioeconomic and socio-technical factors for modeling and managing flood risk change. Readers will gain a more complete picture of the topic for understanding the complexity of flood risk change, both from human and natural causes of flooding. The book includes a mix of theory (introduction to complex system science from the flood risk management perspective) and case studies. It features maps and figures focusing on the system components as well as on the dynamic interactions between the drivers of change. Researchers studying flood risk, environmental engineering, disaster risk reduction, and land use, as well as those in industry and responsible for policy, will find this an invaluable resource.

Key Features

  • Comprehensive overview of key drivers of change, including both natural drivers and socioeconomic drivers
  • Presents different modeling frameworks and setups for considering complexity in flood risk analysis and management
  • Includes both theoretical research and practical applications as told through case studies


Academic departments: flood risk research, environmental engineering, geography, disaster risk reduction, land use science. Industries: Public authorities at local, national and international levels

Table of Contents

  • Cover image
  • Title page
  • Table of Contents
  • Copyright
  • Dedication
  • Preface
  • Chapter 1. Introduction
  • Chapter 2. Key drivers of flood risk change
  • Principles of flood risk analysis
  • Environmental changes
  • Environmental changes in the upstream catchment
  • Environmental changes in the floodplain
  • Climate changes
  • Socioeconomic changes
  • Coevolution of key drivers of change
  • Chapter 3. Disentangling drivers of change
  • Analysis and modeling framework
  • Analyzing the effects of feedback and time lags on flood risk change
  • Chapter 4. Rivers and floodplains as complex adaptive systems?
  • Characteristics of complex systems
  • Long-term evolution of floodplains seen from a complex systems perspective
  • Complexity of flood risk change
  • Trajectories and pathways of flood risk evolution
  • Sensitivity to climatic changes—short-term future pathways
  • Chapter 5. Modeling spatiotemporal dynamics of flood risk change
  • Examples of flood risk change analysis
  • Modeling framework for considering complexity in the analysis of flood risk change
  • Development of coupled component models
  • Perspectives of coupled component models in hydrology
  • Chapter 6. Confronting complexity in flood risk management
  • A new perspective on flood risks
  • Levers for controlling flood risk in the long term
  • Implications for flood risk research and management
  • Index

Product details

  • No. of pages: 314
  • Language: English
  • Copyright: © Elsevier 2022
  • Published: August 30, 2022
  • Imprint: Elsevier
  • Paperback ISBN: 9780128220115
  • eBook ISBN: 9780128230107

About the Author

Andreas Zischg

Andreas Paul Zischg is a geographer by training and has worked for many years in flood risk research and flood risk management. He was a consultant for public authorities responsible for water resources management, flood risk management, land use planning, and environmental protection and has built experience in adapting disciplinary government practices to the complex challenges of our times, e.g. by developing transdisciplinary and participative planning processes, adaptive management approaches, and by introducing participatory modelling framework in decision making processes. In these years, he acknowledged the urgent need for methods that enable us to consider, confront, and tackle the complexity inherent in solving current problems. Currently, he is a senior scientist at the University of Bern, Switzerland. His research focuses on the development of coupled component modelling frameworks for analysing and modelling complex processes and changes that are shaping flood risks in the Anthropocene.

Affiliations and Expertise

University of Bern, Switzerland

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