Futures for a Declining City - 1st Edition - ISBN: 9780121235802, 9781483258171

Futures for a Declining City

1st Edition

Simulations for the Cleveland Area

Authors: Katharine L. Bradbury Anthony Downs Kenneth A. Small
Editors: Edwin S. Mills
eBook ISBN: 9781483258171
Imprint: Academic Press
Published Date: 1st January 1981
Page Count: 262
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Futures for a Declining City: Simulations for the Cleveland Area discusses the processes associated with decrease in urban population or “urban decline” and other measures of urban size or function. This book describes the case study that analyzes what will happen to a declining metropolitan area and its central city if current trends on urban decline continue, and how that outcome might be affected by various policies designed to counteract further loss. This case study focuses on the Cleveland Standard Metropolitan Statistical Area (SMSA) and its central city, Cleveland. The likely future course of urban decline acquired through quantitative estimates and methodologies for comparing policies is also covered in this text. This publication is aimed primarily at economists, urban planners, and political scientists, including those who formulate policies affecting declining urban areas.

Table of Contents


  1. Introduction and Summary The Nature of This Study The Key Urban Variables Used The Specific Policy Packages Analyzed Findings Concerning the Continuation of Present Trends (The Base Case) Findings Concerning Alternative Futures for the Cleveland SMSA Findings Concerning City Revitalization Policies in General
  2. Continuation of Present Trends and Policies - The Base Case Concept Employment, Population, and Income Housing and Household Developments Fiscal Factors Transportation
  3. The Analysis of Future Policy Changes Introduction Impacts on Location of Employers Impacts on Location of Households Secondary Impacts Fiscal Impacts Transportation Impacts
  4. A Job Stimulus Package Concept Policies Results Two Variants: Income Transfers and Jobs Targeted to City Residents
  5. A Housing Rehabilitation Package Concept Policies Impacts Housing Tables Other Changes from the Base Case Implications
  6. A Transit Improvement Package Concept Policies Methodology Results In-City Variant Conclusions
  7. A Fiscal Equalization Package Concept Policies and Immediate Fiscal Effects Location Response to Fiscal Equalization Additional Fiscal Effects Summary
  8. A Suburban Growth Control Package Concept Policies Impacts Housing Tables Other Changes from the Base Case Implications
  9. The Impact of an All-Out Revitalization Strategy and Comparisons among the Policy Packages The All-Out Revitalization Package and Its Impacts Comparison and Interpretation of Policy Packages Sensitivity to Secondary Effects Assumptions
  10. Energy Scarcity Scenarios Adjustment Mechanisms High-Cost Scenario Severe Shortage Scenario Conclusion
  11. Recommendations Appendix A. Computation of S


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© Academic Press 1981
Academic Press
eBook ISBN:

About the Author

Katharine L. Bradbury

Anthony Downs

Kenneth A. Small

About the Editor

Edwin S. Mills

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