Energy Modelling Studies and Conservation - 1st Edition - ISBN: 9780080274164, 9781483147031

Energy Modelling Studies and Conservation

1st Edition

Proceedings of a Seminar of the United Nations Economics Commission for Europe, Washington D.C., 24-28 March 1980

Authors: Yong Zhou
eBook ISBN: 9781483147031
Imprint: Pergamon
Published Date: 1st January 1982
Page Count: 724
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Description

Energy Modelling Studies and Conservation documents the proceedings of seminar of the United Nations Economic Commission for Europe held in Washington D.C., on 24-28 March 1980. The volume begins with a Seminar Theme Paper that identifies background policy issues that lead to modeling; discusses points of view involved in energy policy modeling; defines the context of a set of energy conservation problems or questions being analyzed; and provides a forward-looking view of the subject and its problems. This is followed by 54 papers that are organized into three main topics: (1) energy models of major interest to individual countries; (2) the interaction between energy conservation measures and the economy; and (3) the international aspects of energy conservation models. The papers on Topic 1 cover forecasting methodologies, demand and conservation studies, and electricity and supply studies. The papers on Topic 2 present the experiences in countries such as Norway, UK, the USSR, and US. The papers on Topic 3 include studies on energy conservation policies in France, Germany, and Italy; and the MARKAL multi-period linear programming model for joint research and development in the field of new energy technologies of the 17 countries of the International Energy Agency.

Table of Contents


Introduction

Conclusions and Recommendations

List of Contributors

Modeling Energy Conservation and Its Economic Effects, Issues, Methods, Uses, by the ECE Secretariat

Topic 1 : Sector and Local (Including Fuel and End-use) Energy Models of Major Interest for Individual Countries

Topic 1A: Forecasting Methodology

Résumé

Sector and Local Energy Models of Major Interest for Individual Countries

Inclusion of a Rational Utilization of Energy in Modeling Studies

Energy Forecasting Methodology: Energy Paper No. 29

A Disaggregated Model of UK Energy Use for R&D Planning Purposes

The Modeling of National Energy Demand

Use of a Hierarchical Structure of Mathematical Economic Models for Forecasting and Assessing the Development of the Fuel and Energy System

The MEDEE Approach: Analysis and Long-term Forecasting of Final Energy Demand of a Country

Energy Accounts and Budgets, the Norwegian Experience

Les Travaux de Modélisation Energétique Entrepris par le Gouvernement Belge

The IIASA Set of Energy Models: Its Design and Application

Short-term Integrated Forecasting System (STIFS) Methodology and Model Descriptions

An Overview of the Midterm Energy Forecasting System (MEFS)

Measuring the Validity and Performance of Energy Models

Topic IB: Demand and Conservation Studies

Résumé

Studies of Optimal Energy Conservation Programs

Passive Solar Heating in the United States of America and its Potential for Conservation of Conventional Energy Sources

Energy Demand Perspectives in the Swiss Energy Concept

Energy Prices and Conservation: The Canadian Experience

Space Heating Scenarios for Ontario: A Demonstration of the Statistics Canada Household Model

An Econometric-Engineering Analysis of the Impacts of the National Energy Act on U.S. Commercial Sector Energy Demand

Planning Model for Energy Economy

Energy Consumption and Conservation

United States Energy Demand: Some Low Energy Futures

Topic 1C: Electricity Supply Studies

Résumé

The Different Types of Electric Heating confronted with Nuclear Energy: The French Case

District Heating combined with Electricity Generation in the United Kingdom

Models of Nuclear Energy Development and Optimization

Modeling the National Energy Plan

Modeling Natural Gas Regulatory Proposals using the Project Independence Evaluation System

The Conceptual Basis of the Electric Utility Sub-model of Project Independence Evaluation System

Topic 2: The Interaction between Energy Conservation Measures and the Economy

Résumé

The Interaction between Economic Development and the Demand for Energy - The Case for Sweden

Energy in a Multi-sectoral Growth Model

Energy Demand Sensitivities

A Simple Macro-economic Model of the UK Economy, Primary Energy Requirements and Electricity Penetration

A Small-scale Model for Simulation of a Country's Energy Situation

Modeling the Energy Economy of a Region

Methodological Aspects of the Mathematical Modeling of Long-term Energy Development Programs

Modeling of the Structure and Dynamics of the Economic Complex of the Byelorussian SSR with Consideration for Optimal Ways of Fuel and Energy Savings

Rationalization of Fuel and Energy use in Poland as Object of R&D and its Impact on Securing the Socio-economic Growth to 2000

The Brookhaven Integrated Energy/Economy Modeling System and its use in Conservation Policy Analysis

Dynamic Modeling using Advanced Time-series Techniques: Energy-GNP and Energy-Employment Interactions

The International Energy Evaluation System

Long-term Capital Requirements of Alternative Energy Systems: Report on a Techno-economic Model

Topic 3: International Aspects of Energy Conservation Models

Résumé

International Aspects of Energy Conservation Models

An Evaluation of Energy Conservation Policies in Three Countries: France, the Federal Republic of Germany

Scenario Writing for the Forecasting of World Energy Development in the Late Twentieth and Early Twenty-first Centuries in the Light of Energy Conservation Requirements

Markal, a Computer Model Designed for Multi-national Energy System Analysis

Main Results of the First Research Program on Energy System Modeling: Global Survey

International Energy Assessment

Simulating OPEC Pricing Behavior in the World Energy Market

A Sensitivity Analysis of World Oil Prices


Details

No. of pages:
724
Language:
English
Copyright:
© Pergamon 1982
Published:
Imprint:
Pergamon
eBook ISBN:
9781483147031

About the Author

Yong Zhou

Professor Yong Zhou is a recognized expert in the field of non-linear difference equations and their applications in China. He was Editor-in-Chief of Journal of Dynamical Systems and Differential Equations over 2007-2011, and is present Guest Editor at Optimization (T&F), Nonlinear Dynamics and Journal of Vibration and Control (Sage), and at Elsevier former Guest Editor of Computers & Mathematics with Applications over 2010-2012 and Applied Mathematics and Computation over 2014-2015.

Affiliations and Expertise

Faculty of Mathematics and Computer Sciences, Zhejiang Normal University, P.R. China.