This is a book which examines much of what we know and also what we don’t know about the Benguela Current Large Marine Ecosystem and its inherent variability. Building on recent work and exciting findings about the predictability of the Benguela and other coastal upwelling ecosystems, the book takes a look towards the future and highlights the difficulty of making predictions in such a complex and variable region. The book illustrates what scientists and managers from developed and developing countries can achieve by working together, and it lays a solid base upon which to build wise management and ensure sustainable use of the ecosystem.

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Key Features

* Essential reading and a valuable reference work on the Benguela Current Large Marine Ecosystem
* Covers what we know about variability in the Benguela and its impacts
* Provides information on forecasting in the Benguela and offers insight in what is predictable and what is not
* Discusses key elements of a future integrated observing and forecasting system


Oceanographers, marine biologists, ocean/fishery managers, terrestrial scientists and those interested in climate variability and change.

Table of Contents

PART I : BY WAY OF INTORDUCTION 1. A plan comes together (Vere Shannon) 2. Forecasting within the context of large marine ecosystem programs (Kenneth Sherman) 3. GOOS-Africa : Monitoring and predicting in large marine ecosystems (Justin Ahanhanzo) PART II : SETTING THE SCENE Subtitle : Data, time series and models : what we think we know about variability in the Benguela and comparable systems. 4. Large scale variability in the physical environment of the Benguela region (Frank Shillington et al.) 5. Forecasting low oxygen water (LOW) variability in the Benguela system (Pedro Monteiro et al.) 6. Variability of plankton in the Benguela Current LME – an overview (Larry Hutchings et al.) 7. The variability and potential for prediction of harmful algal blooms in the southern Benguela ecosystem (Grant Pitcher and Scarla Weeks) 8. Resource and ecosystem variability, including regime shifts, in the Benguela Current system (Carl van der Lingen et al.) 9. Variability and change in comparable systems: lessons learned (Pierre Freon et al.) PART III : HOPES, DREAMS AND REALITY Subtitle : Forecasting in the Benguela : Our collective wisdom 10 Transboundary influences on the BCLME region (Chris Reason et al.) 11 Detecting and forecasting long-term ecosystem changes (Astrid Jarre et al.) 12 The requirements for forecasting harmful algal blooms in the Benguela (Stewart Bernard et al.) 13 Low oxygen water (LOW) forcing scales amenable to forecasting in the Benguela ecosystem (Monteiro et al.) 14 Forecasting shelf processes of relevance to living marine resources in the BCLME (Carl van der Lingen et al.) 15 Maritime operations in


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© 2006
Elsevier Science
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