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ADVANCED DERIVATIVES PRICING AND RISK MANAGEMENT
Theory, Tools, and Hands-On Programming Applications
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By
Claudio Albanese , Professor of Mathematical Finance, Imperial College, London, UK
Giuseppe Campolieti , Associate Professor of Mathematics, SHARCNET Chair in Financial Mathematics, Wilfrid Laurier University, Waterloo, Ontario, Canada
Included in series
Academic Press Advanced Finance ,
Description
Written by leading academics and practitioners in the field of financial mathematics, the purpose of this book is to provide a unique
combination of some of the most important and relevant theoretical and practical tools from which any advanced undergraduate and graduate
student, professional quant and researcher will benefit. This book stands out from all other existing books in quantitative finance from
the sheer impressive range of ready-to-use software and accessible theoretical tools that are provided as a complete package. By proceeding
from simple to complex, the authors cover core topics in derivative pricing and risk management in a style that is engaging, accessible
and self-instructional. The book contains a wide spectrum of problems, worked-out solutions, detailed methodologies and applied mathematical
techniques for which anyone planning to make a serious career in quantitative finance must master. In fact, core portions of the book?s
material originated and evolved after years of classroom lectures and computer laboratory courses taught in a world-renowned professional
Master?s program in mathematical finance. As a bonus to the reader, the book also gives a detailed exposition on new cutting-edge theoretical
techniques with many results in pricing theory that are published here for the first time.
Audience
Students in finance programs, particularly financial engineering.
Contents
I Pricing Theory and Risk Management 11
1 Pricing Theory 13
1.1 Single Period, Finite Financial Models . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. 16
1.2 Continuous state spaces . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 24
1.3 Multivariate Continuous Distributions: Basic Tools . . .
. . . . . . . 28
1.4 Brownian Motion, Martingales and Stochastic Integrals . . . . . . . . 35
1.5 Stochastic Differential Equations and
Ito?s formula . . . . . . . . . . 46
1.6 Geometric Brownian Motion . . .52
1.7 Forwards and European Calls and Puts . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . 61
1.8 Static Hedging and Replication of Exotic Payoffs . . . . . . . . . . . 68
1.9 Continuous Time Financial Models
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 77
1.10 Dynamic Hedging and Derivative Asset Pricing in Continuous Time . 84
1.11 Hedging with
Forwards and Futures . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 90
1.12 Pricing formulas of the Black-Scholes type . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. 96
1.13 Partial Differential Equations for Pricing Functions and Kernels . . . 108
1.14 American Options . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . 114
1.14.1 Arbitrage-Free Pricing and Optimal Stopping Time Formulation 114
1.14.2 Perpetual American Options . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . . 125
1.14.3 Properties of the Early-Exercise Boundary . . . . . . . . . . . 127
1.14.4 The PDE and Integral
Equation Formulation . . . . . . . . . 129
2 Fixed Income Instruments 135
2.1 Bonds, Futures, Forwards and Swaps . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . 135
2.1.1 Bonds . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 135
2.1.2 Forward rate agreements . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . 138
2.1.3 Floating rate notes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 139
2.1.4 Plain-Vanilla Swaps . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . . 140
2.1.5 Constructing the discount curve . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 141
2.2 Pricing measures and Black-Scholes
formulas . . . . . . . . . . . . . 143
2.2.1 Stock options with stochastic interest rates. . . . . . . . . . . 144
2.2.2 Swaptions. .
.. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 145
2.2.3 Caplets. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 146
2.2.4 Options on Bonds. . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 147
2.2.5 Futures-forward price spread . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 147
2.2.6 Bond futures options
. . . . . . . . . . .. . . . . . . . . . 149
2.3 One-factor models for the short rate . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 151
2.3.1 Bond
pricing equation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 151
2.3.2 Hull-White, Ho-Lee and Vasicek Models . . . . . . . . . . . 152
2.3.3
Cox-Ingersoll-Ross model . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 158
2.3.4 Flesaker-Hughston model . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. 163
2.4 Multifactor models . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 166
2.4.1 HJM with no-arbitrage constraints . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . 167
2.4.2 BGMJ with no-arbitrage constraints . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 169
2.5 Real World Interest Rate Models . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 171
3 Advanced Topics in Pricing Theory: Exotic Options and State Dependent
Models 175
3.1 Introduction
to Barrier Options . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 177
3.2 Single-Barrier Kernels for the Simplest Model: The Wiener Process
. 179
3.2.1 Driftless Case . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 179
3.2.2 Brownian Motion with Drift . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . 185
3.3 Pricing Kernels and European Barrier Option Formulas for Geometric
Brownian Motion . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . 187
3.4 First Passage Time . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 196
3.5 Pricing Kernels and Barrier Option Formulas
for Linear and Quadratic
Volatility Models . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 200
3.5.1 Linear Volatility Models Revisited . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . 200
3.5.2 Quadratic Volatility Models . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 208
3.6 Green?s Functions Method for
Diffusion Kernels . . . . . . . . . . . 219
3.6.1 Eigenfunction Expansions for the Green?s Function and the
Transition Density . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 228
3.7 Kernels for the Bessel Process . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 230
3.7.1 The Barrier-free
Kernel: No Absorption . . . . . . . . . . . . 231
3.7.2 The Case of Two Finite Barriers with Absorption . . . . . . . 234
3.7.3 The Case
of a Single Upper Finite Barrier with Absorption . . 238
3.7.4 The Case of a Single Lower Finite Barrier with Absorption . . 241
3.8
New Families of Analytical Pricing Formulas: ?From x-Space to FSpace?
. . . . .. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 242
3.8.1 Transformation
Reduction Methodology . . . . . . . . . . . . 243
3.8.2 Bessel Families of State Dependent Volatility Models . . . . . 249
3.8.3 The
4-Parameter Sub-Family of Bessel Models . . . . . . . . 252
3.8.3.1 Recovering the CEV Model . . . . . . . . . . . . . 256
3.8.3.2 Recovering
Quadratic Models . . . . . . . . . . . . 259
3.8.4 Conditions for Absorption or Probability Conservation . . . . 261
3.8.5 Barrier Pricing
Formulas for Multi-Parameter Volatility Models 264
3.9 Appendix A: Proof of Lemma 3.1 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 268
3.10
Appendix B: Alternative Proof of Theorem 3.1 . . . . . . . . . . . . 270
3.11 Appendix C: Some Properties of Bessel Functions . . . .
. . . . . . . 272
CONTENTS 7
4 Numerical Methods for Value-at-Risk 275
4.1 Risk Factor Models . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. 279
4.1.1 The lognormal model . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 279
4.1.2 The asymmetric Student?s t model . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . 280
4.1.3 The Parzen model . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 282
4.1.4 Multivariate models . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . 284
4.2 Portfolio Models . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 286
4.2.1 _-approximation . . . . . . . .. . .
. . . . . . . 287
4.2.2 __-approximation . . . . .. . . . . . . . . . . . . 289
4.3 Statistical estimations for __-portfolios . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . 291
4.3.1 Portfolio decomposition and portfolio dependent estimation . 291
4.3.2 Testing independence . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . 293
4.3.3 A few implementation issues . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 295
4.4 Numerical methods for __-portfolios
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 297
4.4.1 Monte Carlo methods and variance reduction . . . . . . . . . 297
4.4.2 Moment methods . .
. . . . . . . . . . .. . . . . . . . 300
4.4.3 Fourier Transform of the Moment Generating Function . . . . 303
4.5 The fast convolution
method . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 305
4.5.1 The pdf of a quadratic random variable . . . . . . . . . . . . 306
4.5.2 Discretization
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 307
4.5.3 Accuracy and convergence . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 308
4.5.4 The computational
details . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 308
4.5.5 Convolution with the fast Fourier transform . . . . . . . . . . 308
4.5.6 Computing
value-at-risk . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 314
4.5.7 Richardson?s extrapolation improves accuracy . . . . . . . . . 315
4.5.8
Computational complexity . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 317
4.6 Examples . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 318
4.6.1 Fat-tails and
value-at-risk . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 318
4.6.2 So which result can we trust? . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 319
4.6.3 Computing the gradient of value-at-risk . . . . . . . . . . . . 319
4.6.4 The value-at-risk gradient and portfolio composition
. . . . . 320
4.6.5 Computing the gradient . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 321
4.6.6 Sensitivity analysis and the linear approximation
. . . . . . . 323
4.6.7 Hedging with value-at-risk . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 324
4.6.8 Adding stochastic volatility . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 325
4.7 Risk factor aggregation and dimension reduction . . . . . . . . . . . 326
4.7.1 Method 1: reduction
with small mean square error . . . . . . 327
4.7.2 Method 2: reduction by low-rank approximation . . . . . . . 329
4.7.3 Absolute versus
relative value-at-risk . . . . . . . . . . . . . 332
4.7.4 Example: a comparative experiment . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 332
4.7.5 Example:
dimension reduction and optimization . . . . . . . 333
4.8 Perturbation theory . . . . . . . .. . . . . . . . . . 334
4.8.1 When is value-at-risk
well-posed? . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 334
4.8.2 Perturbations of the return model . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 336
4.8.3 Proof of
a first-order perturbation property . . . . . . . . . . 336
4.8.4 Error bounds and the condition number . . . . . . . . . . . . 337
8
CONTENTS
4.8.5 Example: mixture model . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 339
II Numerical Projects in Pricing and Risk Management
353
5 Project: Arbitrage Theory 355
5.1 Basic Terminology and Concepts: Asset Prices, States, Returns and
Payoffs . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . 355
5.2 Arbitrage Portfolios and The Arbitrage Theorem . . . . . . . . . . . 357
5.3 An example of single period
asset pricing: Risk-Neutral Probabilities
and Arbitrage . .. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 358
5.4 Arbitrage detection and the formation
of arbitrage portfolios in the Ndimensional
case . . . . . . . . . . .. . . . . . . . . . . . . . 360
6 Project: The Black-Scholes (Lognormal)
Model 361
6.1 Black-Scholes pricing formula . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 361
6.2 Black-Scholes sensitivity analysis . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 365
7 Project: Quantile-quantile plots 367
7.1 Log-returns and standardization . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . 367
7.2 Quantile-Quantile plots . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 368
8 Project: Monte Carlo Pricer 371
8.1 Scenario
Generation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 371
8.2 Calibration . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 372
8.3 Pricing Equity Basket
Options . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 374
9 Project: The Binomial Lattice Model 377
9.1 Building the Lattice . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . 377
9.2 Lattice Calibration and Pricing . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 379
10 Project: The Trinomial
Lattice Model 383
10.1 Building the Lattice . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 383
10.2 Pricing procedure . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . . 386
10.3 Calibration . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 388
10.4 Pricing barrier options . . . . . . . .. . . . . . . . . . .
. . 389
10.5 Put-call parity in trinomial lattices . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 390
10.6 Computing the sensitivities . . . .
. . . . . . . . . . . . . 391
11 Project: Crank-Nicolson option pricer 393
11.1 The Lattice for the Crank-Nicolson pricer . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . 393
11.2 Pricing with Crank-Nicolson . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 394
11.3 Calibration . . . . . . . . . . . . .
. . . . . 396
11.4 Pricing barrier options . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 396
CONTENTS 9
12 Project: Static Hedging of Barrier Options
399
12.1 Analytical Pricing Formulas for Barrier Options . . . . . . . . . . . . 399
12.2 Replication of up-and-out barrier options .
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 402
12.3 Replication of down-and-out barrier options . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 405
13 Project: Variance
Swaps 409
13.1 The logarithmic payoff . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 409
13.2 Static Hedging: replication of a logarithmic payoff
. . . . . . . . . . 410
14 Project: Monte Carlo VaR for Delta-Gamma Portfolios 415
14.1 Multivariate Normal Distribution . . . . . .
. . . . . . . . . 415
14.2 Multivariate Student-t Distributions . . . . . . . . . . . .. . . . . 418
15 Project: Covariance estimation
and scenario generation in VaR 421
15.1 Generating covariance matrices of a given spectrum . . . . . . . . . . 421
15.2 Re-estimating
the covariance matrix and the spectral shift . . . . . . . 422
16 Project: Interest Rate Trees: Calibration and Pricing 425
16.1 Background
Theory . . . . .. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 425
16.2 Binomial Lattice Calibration for Discount Bonds . . . . . . . . . . . 427
16.3
Binomial pricing of FRAs, Swaps, Caplets, Floorlets, Swaptions and
other derivatives . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 431
16.4 Trinomial
Lattice Calibration and Pricing in the Hull-White model . . 437
16.4.1 The First Stage: The Lattice with zero drift . . . . . . . . .
. 437
16.4.2 The Second Stage: Lattice calibration with drift and reversion 441
16.4.3 Pricing options . . . . . . . .. . . . . . . .
. . . 445
16.5 Calibration and pricing within the Black-Karasinski model . . . . . . 446
Bibliographic details
Hardbound, 426 pages, publication date: SEP-2005
ISBN-13: 978-0-12-047682-4
ISBN-10: 0-12-047682-7
Imprint: ACADEMIC PRESS
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Last update: 5 Sep 2009