Probabilistic Methods Applied to Electric Power Systems

Probabilistic Methods Applied to Electric Power Systems

Proceedings of the First International Symposium, Toronto, Canada, 11–13 July 1986

1st Edition - January 1, 1987

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  • Editor: Samy G. Krishnasamy
  • eBook ISBN: 9781483160740

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Probabilistic Methods Applied to Electric Power Systems contains the proceedings of the First International Symposium held in Toronto, Ontario, Canada, on July 11-13, 1986. The papers explore significant technical advances that have been made in the application of probability methods to the design of electric power systems. This volume is comprised of 65 chapters divided into 10 sections and begins by discussing the probabilistic methodologies used in the assessment of power system reliability and structural design. The following chapters focus on the applications of probabilistic techniques to the analysis and design of transmission systems and structures; evaluation of design and reliability of distribution systems; system planning; and assessment of performance of transmission system components such as insulators, tower joints, and foundations. The probability-based procedures for dealing with data bases such as wind load and ice load are also considered, along with the effects of weather-induced loads on overhead power lines and the use of probability methods in upgrading existing power lines and components. The final section deals with applications of probability methods to power system problems not covered in other chapters. This book will be of value to engineers involved in uprating, designing, analyzing, and assessing reliability of transmission and distribution systems.

Table of Contents

  • Preface

    Organizing Committee

    Technical Advisory Committee

    Chapter 1 Keynote Lectures

    Probabilistic Methodologies Used in the Assessment of Power System Reliability Evaluation

    Probabilistic Methods in Structural Design and Analysis

    Chapter 2 Analysis and Design of Transmission Systems

    Probabilistic Optimization of Transmission Line Design

    Structural Reliability Analysis of a Transmission Tower Using Probabilistic Finite Element Method

    On the Probabilistic Collapse Analysis of Transmission Line Structures

    Load and Resistance Factors for Structural Components

    Reliability of Ontario Hydro's 500 kV Narrow Base Transmission Structures

    Practical Code Formats for Reliability Based Design of Transmission Structures

    A Censoring Technique in the Monte Carlo Simulation Method Applied to Probability Based Distribution Line Wood Pole Design

    Probability Based Line Design: A Draft Proposal for 230 kV and above for the Canadian Standards Association

    Probabilistic Assessment and Design of Transmission Line Towers

    Reliability Based Design of Transmission Lines according to Recent Advances by IEC and CIGRE

    An Introduction to the EPRI Reliability Based Design Guide

    The NESC, Probability, Reliability and the Future

    Chapter 3 Design and Analysis of Distribution Systems

    Probability Based Design of Wood Pole Distribution Lines

    Application of Probabilistic Risk Assessment Techniques to Distribution System Considerations

    Evaluation of Urban Distribution Systems Reliability

    Prediction of Distribution Line Service Reliability by Probability Methods

    Statistical Analysis of Power Systems Using the Adjoint and Monte-Carlo Methods

    Chapter 4 System Analysis, Planning and Reliability Assessment

    Probabilistic Transmission Planning Procedures within the CEGB

    A General Purpose Computer Program for the Reliability Analysis and Design of Structural Line Components

    Brazilian Experience on Probabilistic Methods Applied to Network Planning

    Computer Experiments with System Reliability Methods: A Critical Study

    Probabilistic Analysis of Dynamic Short Circuit Stresses of Rigid Bus Bars and Support Insulators Considering Reclosure

    EDF Probabilistic Approach in Transmission Planning Studies: Concepts and Computation Tools for a Better Assessment of Reliability and Security of an EHV Transmission Power System

    Modeling Requirements for Bulk Power System Reliability Evaluation

    Extensions of Large Deviation Technique to Power System Reliability Applications Contingency Simulation and Ranking Techniques for Power System Reliability Evaluation

    Multi-Area Reliability Evaluation via a Demand-Supply Feasibility Theorem

    Characterization of the Aging of Thermal Generators for Reliability Assessment

    Three State Component Representation for Reliability Evaluation of Power Systems

    Chapter 5 Analysis, Testing and Design of Power Systems Components

    Probabilistic Design Methods as Applied to High Capacity Grouted Anchors

    Observations on the Variability of Undrained Side Resistance for Deep Foundations

    Uplift Design of Transmission Tower Foundations in Sand: A Probabilistic Approach

    Buckling Strength Prediction Equation for Angles: Probabilistic Approach

    A Stochastic Method of Assessing the Effect of Joint Deformation on Bolted Lattice Towers

    The EPRI Transmission Line Mechanical Research Facility: Lattice Tower Database

    Predicting Static Fatigue Strength of Non-Ceramic Suspension Insulators Using Cumulative Damage and Accelerated Life Testing

    Chapter 6 Data Base and Probabilistic Design/Analysis

    Wind Load Data for Reliability Based Transmission Line Design

    Wind Direction and Extreme Wind Loads for Overhead Power Line Design

    Data Collection for the Bonneville Power Administration Project on Wind Loading of Transmission Conductors

    Process for Determination of the Wind Load Used in Design of Transmission Tower in Japan and Problems Involved

    Data Uncertainty: Evaluation, Control and Impact

    Survival Predictions for Wood Pole Utility Structures

    A Probabilistic and Statistical Approach for Hardware Testing

    Estimation of Extreme Wind Speeds from Short Wind Records

    Chapter 7 Weather Related Loads and Effects on Overhead Power Lines

    Probabilistic Considerations in Transmission Line Wind Design for Mexico

    A Stochastic Model for Wind Induced Vibrations and Damage Accumulation in the Cables of Overhead Transmission Lines

    Electrical Transmission Structure Response to Wind

    Clearances for Galloping on Overhead Lines

    A Probabilistic Approach for Optimal Location of Bundled Conductor Spacers to Minimize Damage from Aeolian Vibration

    Chapter 8 Uprating of Existing Power Systems Application of Probability Techniques to Transmission Line Uprating

    The Use of Probability Techniques in the Design and Uprating of Transmission Lines in Hydro-Quebec

    Costs and Benefits of Probabilistic Approach to the Uprating of 110 kV Substations with Excessive Fault Currents

    Probability Methods for Calculating the Current Capacity of Overhead Transmission Lines

    Probabilistic Short-Circuit Uprating of Station Strain Bus System - Overview, Application and Risk Assessment

    Application of Probabilistic Methods of Increasing Short-Circuit Stress for Selected Plants of the Transmission of Power

    Chapter 9 Calibration of Power System and Components

    Calibration of 46 kV and 115 kV Wood REA Structures in Southern Alabama to Reliability Based Design Techniques

    Reliability Calibration of the NESC Rules for the Structural Design of Transmission Lines

    Chapter 10 Power System Related Studies

    Effect of Wind on the Minimum Flash-over Voltage of Iced Insulators in Foul Weather

    A New Method for the Steady-State Solution of Complex Markov Systems

    Statistical Models for Lightning Intensity and Their Application to Prediction of Transmission Lightning Outage Rates

    Probabilistic Techniques in Load Flow Analysis - A Practical Application

    Probabilistic Analysis Techniques Used to Examine Ground Clearance for the Pacific Northwest DC Intertie Upgrade

    Subject Index

Product details

  • No. of pages: 678
  • Language: English
  • Copyright: © Pergamon 1987
  • Published: January 1, 1987
  • Imprint: Pergamon
  • eBook ISBN: 9781483160740

About the Editor

Samy G. Krishnasamy

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