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Global Models and the International Economic Order: A Paper for the United Nations Institute for Training and Research Project on the Future focuses on the impact of global models in decision-making processes and in the pursuance of United Nations objectives as manifested in the concept of the New International Economic Order. The book first offers information on the description and results of studies, including limits to growth, Strategy for Survival model, Latin American world model, global constraints and vision for development, and the United Nations World Input-Output model. The manuscript also examines the comparison of model results. Concerns include structure of models, regionalization in the models, trade and aid, assumptions about demand and overall supply, and levels of regional development. The text also ponders on methodological considerations, as well as structure, detail, and feedback; calibration; sensitivity and scenario analysis; and optimizing models. The manuscript is a dependable reference for readers interested in the use of global models in decision making processes.
Table of Contents
Aims and Content
The Terminology of Modeling
2. Description and Results of the Studies
The Limits to Growth
The Strategy for Survival
The Latin American World Model
Global Constraints and a New Vision for Development
The United Nations World Input-Output Model
3. Comparison of the Model Results
The Structure of the Models
Regionalization in the Models
Trade and Aid
Levels of Regional Investment
Assumptions about Demand
(ii) Patterns of Expenditure and Consumption
Assumptions about Overall Supply
(i) The Availability of Natural Resources
(ii) Technological Change
4. Methodological Considerations—The Limits to Modeling
Structure, Detail and Feedback
Sensitivity and Scenario Analysis
5. Conclusions—Where Do We Go from Here?
Selected Bibliography and References
- No. of pages:
- © Pergamon 1977
- 1st January 1977
- eBook ISBN:
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