Global Models and the International Economic Order - 1st Edition - ISBN: 9780080229911, 9781483155210

Global Models and the International Economic Order

1st Edition

A Paper for the United Nations Institute for Training and Research Project on the Future

Authors: Sam Cole
eBook ISBN: 9781483155210
Imprint: Pergamon
Published Date: 1st January 1977
Page Count: 92
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Description

Global Models and the International Economic Order: A Paper for the United Nations Institute for Training and Research Project on the Future focuses on the impact of global models in decision-making processes and in the pursuance of United Nations objectives as manifested in the concept of the New International Economic Order. The book first offers information on the description and results of studies, including limits to growth, Strategy for Survival model, Latin American world model, global constraints and vision for development, and the United Nations World Input-Output model. The manuscript also examines the comparison of model results. Concerns include structure of models, regionalization in the models, trade and aid, assumptions about demand and overall supply, and levels of regional development. The text also ponders on methodological considerations, as well as structure, detail, and feedback; calibration; sensitivity and scenario analysis; and optimizing models. The manuscript is a dependable reference for readers interested in the use of global models in decision making processes.

Table of Contents


Table of Contents

Preface

1. Introduction

Aims and Content

The Terminology of Modeling

2. Description and Results of the Studies

The Limits to Growth

The Strategy for Survival

The Latin American World Model

Global Constraints and a New Vision for Development

The United Nations World Input-Output Model

3. Comparison of the Model Results

The Structure of the Models

Regionalization in the Models

Trade and Aid

Levels of Regional Investment

Assumptions about Demand

(i) Population

(ii) Patterns of Expenditure and Consumption

Assumptions about Overall Supply

(i) The Availability of Natural Resources

(ii) Technological Change

(iii)Employment

4. Methodological Considerations—The Limits to Modeling

Structure, Detail and Feedback

Data

Calibration

Sensitivity and Scenario Analysis

Optimizing Models

5. Conclusions—Where Do We Go from Here?

Selected Bibliography and References

Details

No. of pages:
92
Language:
English
Copyright:
© Pergamon 1977
Published:
Imprint:
Pergamon
eBook ISBN:
9781483155210

About the Author

Sam Cole