China 2020

China 2020

The Next Decade for the People’s Republic of China

1st Edition - March 4, 2011

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  • Editor: Kerry Brown
  • eBook ISBN: 9781780632780

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This book presents eight separate essays and provides the reader with a unique perspective and objective judgement of where China will stand by the end of the current decade. It is suitable reading for foreign policy practitioners, academics and anyone interested in one of the world’s fastest-developing countries. The eight essays cover the following topics: China’s internal politics; China’s military; China’s economy; China’s international image and its international relations; China’s legal development and China’s western regional development plans. China 2020 assesses where these issues stand today and highlights their likely trajectory over the following decade. A unique feature of this book is that it looks in particular at the policy impact, both for China and other countries, and all the most and least likely outcomes for China’s development in these areas.

Key Features

  • Concentrates on the practical policy impacts and the expected outcomes each of the above areas will have
  • Deals with issues like the opening up of China’s undeveloped western area. A subject with little coverage in other mainstream books on China
  • Takes a short to mid-term view of China’s development, so that the period is highly definable and the contours of what might happen are already clear

Table of Contents

  • Chapter 1: China in 2020: the leadership and the Party

    The background

    A learning-oriented Marxist party

    Intra-Party democracy

    The transition

    The posts

    Chapter 2: China 2020: international relations

    The current parameters of China’s foreign policy

    A China that can say no but is still unhappy

    The elephant in the room: the US will always be number one

    The world beyond the US

    The two big problems: Taiwan and North Korea

    China as an international player by 2020

    International China in the coming decade – the two paths

    A Beijing model

    The key factor: what happens within

    Chapter 3: The Chinese economy in the next decade

    Forecasting China

    The Chinese state

    Politics, policy and the state

    China and the global economy

    The financial sector

    Inequality and consumption




    Chapter 4: China’s military in 2020

    Introduction: robust economy

    Arms embargoes

    Combat experience

    Confidence and change

    PLA: the armed wing of the Party

    The PLA ground forces

    The People’s Liberation Army Air Force (PLAAF)

    The People’s Liberation Army Navy (PLAN)

    The Second Artillery Corps (SAC)

    The People’s Armed Police (PAP)

    Cyber warfare

    Strategic implications

    Force projection

    Defence in depth

    Policy implications


    Chapter 5: China’s environment in 2020


    Resource constraints

    International climate talks

    Energy and renewable power

    Waste and pollution




    Chapter 6: China’s western regions 2020: their national and global implications

    What are China’s western regions?

    Issues raised by the western regions

    Development and Develop the West

    Economic growth and human development in the western regions

    Western regions in global perspective

    Chongqing and Chengdu – growth pole(s) for the western regions?

    Prospects to 2020 and policy implications

    Chapter 7: China’s rule of law

    Chinese and foreigners

    Asian values and the law

    Development of law in China in modern history

    The constitution

    Elements of the legal system in China

    The judiciary

    The legislative system

    Law versus the state in China

    Human and civil rights

    New developments influencing law in China

    Chongqing mafia trials

    BMW case


    Policy approaches

    Chapter 8: China’s ‘soft power’ development by 2020

    ‘Soft power’ in Chinese discourse

    China’s tools of soft power

    Beijing’s objectives

    The domestic priority

    Challenges ahead

    Weaknesses in China’s soft power currency

    China’s soft power in 2020



Product details

  • No. of pages: 268
  • Language: English
  • Copyright: © Chandos Publishing 2011
  • Published: March 4, 2011
  • Imprint: Chandos Publishing
  • eBook ISBN: 9781780632780

About the Editor

Kerry Brown

Dr Kerry Brown was educated at Cambridge, London, and Leeds Universities. His first book was a study of the Cultural Revolution in Inner Mongolia, China. His second was a series of essays about the impact of China’s transition and rise on the West in the 21st century. He worked for the FCO for ten years, dealing largely with China and Asia, both in London, and China. He has visited every single province and autonomous region in China, and speaks Chinese fluently. He is Director of Strategic China Ltd, the only UK company helping the Chinese non state sector come to the UK, an Associate Fellow on the Asia Programme at Chatham House, an associate at the China Policy Centre Nottingham, a committee member of the British Association of Chinese Studies, and a Fellow of the Royal Society of Arts. He has commented on China in the Far Eastern Economic Review, International Affairs, The World Today, The Liberal, FT China online, and other specialist journals. He has also commented on China on Bloomberg, BBC, CNBC, The Guardian, The Times, and others.

Affiliations and Expertise

Senior Fellow at Chatham House, UK

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