Description

This book presents eight separate essays and provides the reader with a unique perspective and objective judgement of where China will stand by the end of the current decade. It is suitable reading for foreign policy practitioners, academics and anyone interested in one of the world’s fastest-developing countries. The eight essays cover the following topics: China’s internal politics; China’s military; China’s economy; China’s international image and its international relations; China’s legal development and China’s western regional development plans. China 2020 assesses where these issues stand today and highlights their likely trajectory over the following decade. A unique feature of this book is that it looks in particular at the policy impact, both for China and other countries, and all the most and least likely outcomes for China’s development in these areas.

Key Features

  • Concentrates on the practical policy impacts and the expected outcomes each of the above areas will have
  • Deals with issues like the opening up of China’s undeveloped western area. A subject with little coverage in other mainstream books on China
  • Takes a short to mid-term view of China’s development, so that the period is highly definable and the contours of what might happen are already clear

Table of Contents

Dedication

Foreword

Preface

Acknowledgements

List of abbreviations

About the authors

Chapter 1: China in 2020: the leadership and the Party

The background

A learning-oriented Marxist party

Intra-Party democracy

The transition

The posts

Chapter 2: China 2020: international relations

The current parameters of China’s foreign policy

A China that can say no but is still unhappy

The elephant in the room: the US will always be number one

The world beyond the US

The two big problems: Taiwan and North Korea

China as an international player by 2020

International China in the coming decade – the two paths

A Beijing model

The key factor: what happens within

Chapter 3: The Chinese economy in the next decade

Forecasting China

The Chinese state

Politics, policy and the state

China and the global economy

The financial sector

Inequality and consumption

Demography

Urbanisation

Conclusion

Chapter 4: China’s military in 2020

Introduction: robust economy

Arms embargoes

Combat experience

Confidence and change

PLA: the armed wing of the Party

The PLA ground forces

The People’s Liberation Army Air Force (PLAAF)

The People’s Liberation Army Navy (PLAN)

The Second Artillery Corps (SAC)

The People’s Armed Police (PAP)

Cyber warfare

Strategic implications

Force projection

Defence in depth

Policy implications

Conclusion

Chapter 5: China’s environment in 2020

Economy

Resource constraints

International climate talks

Energy and renewable power

Waste and pollution

Food

Biodiversity

Politics

Chapter 6: China’s western regions 2020: their na

Details

No. of pages:
268
Language:
English
Copyright:
© 2011
Published:
Imprint:
Chandos Publishing
Electronic ISBN:
9781780632780
Print ISBN:
9781843346319
Print ISBN:
9780081017401

About the editor

Kerry Brown

Dr Kerry Brown was educated at Cambridge, London, and Leeds Universities. His first book was a study of the Cultural Revolution in Inner Mongolia, China. His second was a series of essays about the impact of China’s transition and rise on the West in the 21st century. He worked for the FCO for ten years, dealing largely with China and Asia, both in London, and China. He has visited every single province and autonomous region in China, and speaks Chinese fluently. He is Director of Strategic China Ltd, the only UK company helping the Chinese non state sector come to the UK, an Associate Fellow on the Asia Programme at Chatham House, an associate at the China Policy Centre Nottingham, a committee member of the British Association of Chinese Studies, and a Fellow of the Royal Society of Arts. He has commented on China in the Far Eastern Economic Review, International Affairs, The World Today, The Liberal, FT China online, and other specialist journals. He has also commented on China on Bloomberg, BBC, CNBC, The Guardian, The Times, and others.

Reviews

This stimulating and thought-provoking analysis of what China will be like in ten years' time is particularly valuable for including the views of China experts who do not normally write in the public domain, John Everard, former British Ambassador to North Korea