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Chapter 1: China in 2020: the leadership and the Party
A learning-oriented Marxist party
Chapter 2: China 2020: international relations
The current parameters of China’s foreign policy
A China that can say no but is still unhappy
The elephant in the room: the US will always be number one
The world beyond the US
The two big problems: Taiwan and North Korea
China as an international player by 2020
International China in the coming decade – the two paths
A Beijing model
The key factor: what happens within
Chapter 3: The Chinese economy in the next decade
The Chinese state
Politics, policy and the state
China and the global economy
The financial sector
Inequality and consumption
Chapter 4: China’s military in 2020
Introduction: robust economy
Confidence and change
PLA: the armed wing of the Party
The PLA ground forces
The People’s Liberation Army Air Force (PLAAF)
The People’s Liberation Army Navy (PLAN)
The Second Artillery Corps (SAC)
The People’s Armed Police (PAP)
Defence in depth
Chapter 5: China’s environment in 2020
International climate talks
Energy and renewable power
Waste and pollution
Chapter 6: China’s western regions 2020: their national and global implications
What are China’s western regions?
Issues raised by the western regions
Development and Develop the West
Economic growth and human development in the western regions
Western regions in global perspective
Chongqing and Chengdu – growth pole(s) for the western regions?
Prospects to 2020 and policy implications
Chapter 7: China’s rule of law
Chinese and foreigners
Asian values and the law
Development of law in China in modern history
Elements of the legal system in China
The legislative system
Law versus the state in China
Human and civil rights
New developments influencing law in China
Chongqing mafia trials
Chapter 8: China’s ‘soft power’ development by 2020
‘Soft power’ in Chinese discourse
China’s tools of soft power
The domestic priority
Weaknesses in China’s soft power currency
China’s soft power in 2020
This book presents eight separate essays and provides the reader with a unique perspective and objective judgement of where China will stand by the end of the current decade. It is suitable reading for foreign policy practitioners, academics and anyone interested in one of the world’s fastest-developing countries. The eight essays cover the following topics: China’s internal politics; China’s military; China’s economy; China’s international image and its international relations; China’s legal development and China’s western regional development plans. China 2020 assesses where these issues stand today and highlights their likely trajectory over the following decade. A unique feature of this book is that it looks in particular at the policy impact, both for China and other countries, and all the most and least likely outcomes for China’s development in these areas.
- Concentrates on the practical policy impacts and the expected outcomes each of the above areas will have
- Deals with issues like the opening up of China’s undeveloped western area. A subject with little coverage in other mainstream books on China
- Takes a short to mid-term view of China’s development, so that the period is highly definable and the contours of what might happen are already clear
- No. of pages:
- © Chandos Publishing 2011
- 4th March 2011
- Chandos Publishing
- eBook ISBN:
- Hardcover ISBN:
- Paperback ISBN:
"This stimulating and thought-provoking analysis of what China will be like in ten years' time is particularly valuable for including the views of China experts who do not normally write in the public domain" --John Everard, former British Ambassador to North Korea
Dr Kerry Brown was educated at Cambridge, London, and Leeds Universities. His first book was a study of the Cultural Revolution in Inner Mongolia, China. His second was a series of essays about the impact of China’s transition and rise on the West in the 21st century. He worked for the FCO for ten years, dealing largely with China and Asia, both in London, and China. He has visited every single province and autonomous region in China, and speaks Chinese fluently. He is Director of Strategic China Ltd, the only UK company helping the Chinese non state sector come to the UK, an Associate Fellow on the Asia Programme at Chatham House, an associate at the China Policy Centre Nottingham, a committee member of the British Association of Chinese Studies, and a Fellow of the Royal Society of Arts. He has commented on China in the Far Eastern Economic Review, International Affairs, The World Today, The Liberal, FT China online, and other specialist journals. He has also commented on China on Bloomberg, BBC, CNBC, The Guardian, The Times, and others.
Senior Fellow at Chatham House, UK
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